It's 4%, AKA the Go Fuck Yourself Post.

[jackslammer]

The argument in officer chat was about context more than math.

Here is math though. :ugeek:

Set size is equal to a raid of twenty five players and the subset doesn't matter but I'll use 7 players being chased in an attempt.

For all integer n > 0, n! = n·(n-1)!

((nPr1:r7)^-1)*100
n = 25
r = 1 to 7
Being followed once = 4.00000000%
Being followed twice IN A ROW = 0.16000000%
Being followed three times IN A ROW = 0.00640000%
Being followed four times IN A ROW = 0.00025600%
Being followed five times IN A ROW = 0.00001024%
Being followed six times IN A ROW = 0.00000041%
Being followed seven times IN A ROW = 0.00000002%

Is the respective probability of being selected in a row in an attempt. Otherwise it is just 4%.