It's 4%, AKA the Go Fuck Yourself Post.

[Roj]

The probability of anub double targetting is 4%
The probability of anub triple targetting is .16%
The probability of anub quadruple targetting is .0064%

I'm so good at this.

Ah the ole make up some numbers trick. What happened to

2 times with 3 chases
F(3,2) = .04 + .96F(2,2) = .0784