10-21-2009, 11:42 PM
Lorake Wrote:Just to verify - You are going to try to find A: the probability of an Anub double target on 7 chases, not B: the probability of Anub double targetting on a specific person in raid in 7 chases. If you're trying to find B this argument is moot and you just aren't listening.
Oh I understand. Since there should be 7 chases per full attempt, you are saying there is a 21% chance per attempt of a double chase. Which would be 1 double chase every 5 attempts. Which would be 40 double chases in 200 attempts. We've had 2 double chases in 200 attempts. Oh but I forgot, it's just a probability, so being off by 2000% is fine because you can't expect it to actually apply to the game.
It's obvious already that your latest "equation" is wrong, but I'll have to look through it tomorrow.