10-22-2009, 05:18 PM
Just posting these for my reference in case a certain unscrupulous person removes them. Haven't had a chance to look at the latest one very closely yet.
Lorakemath Version 2 (Did not catch the equation before the first condition was added)
Lorakemath Version 3
Lorakemath Version 4
Lorakemath Version 5
Lorakemath Version 6 (wording changed for comparison)
Lorakemath Version 6 (original)
Lorakemath Version 2 (Did not catch the equation before the first condition was added)
Lorake Wrote:Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted X times in a row with Y amount of chases
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y = 1 *Edit: broke my own equation LOL
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96F(X-1,Y)
Lorakemath Version 3
Lorake Wrote:Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted X times in a row with Y amount of chases
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1 *Edit: broke my own equation LOL
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96F(X-1,Y)
Lorakemath Version 4
Lorake Wrote:Probability of a random person in raid getting targetted Y times in a row with X amount of chases
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1 *Edit: broke my own equation LOL
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96F(X-1,Y)
Lorakemath Version 5
Lorake Wrote:Find the probability of Y back to back chases given Anub does X chases
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96(F(X-1,Y) +F(X-1, Y+1))
Lorakemath Version 6 (wording changed for comparison)
Lorake Wrote:The probability of Y back to back chases given Anub does X chases is :
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96 * sum(F(X-1, Y+(i-1), i = 1, i <= alpha, i++)
where
alpha = Y - 1 when (X+1)/2>Y
alpha = X - Y otherwise
Lorakemath Version 6 (original)
Lorake Wrote:The probability of Y BTBs in X chases is :
Given that X,Y > 1 (It's UNPOSSIBLE to have ZERO TARGETS or 0 CHASES, OR NEGATIVE FOR THE MATTER)
F(X,Y) = 1 when Y = 1
F(X,Y) = 0 when Y>X
F(X,Y) = .04^(Y-1) + .96 * sum(F(X-1, Y+(i-1), i = 1, i <= alpha, i++)
where
alpha = Y - 1 when (X+1)/2>Y
alpha = X - Y otherwise