10-18-2009, 11:41 PM
mascaron Wrote:Lorake Wrote:geng Wrote:according to this you have a 4% chance to get targetted a million times in a row.
No, according to this, for a single person to get targetted X amount of times in a row, given the single person it targets does not matter, and 100% = 1, a person has a .04^(X-1) chance of being targeted X times.
so.. when X = 1 ... a single person has a 100% chance to be targeted 1 time? WOO
He's actually rediculously close. It's 0.04^(X), for all X greater than 0 and for the single case. The odds of a person being followed once in a single P2 is 0.04^(1) * (1-0.04)^2 ~ 3.7%, followed twice in a row is 0.04^(2) * (1-0.04) ~ 1.5%, followed all three times is 0.04^(3) ~ lolz blizzard hates you. Assuming nobody fucks up and there's only two ice patches hit.
It gets even better if you look at two phase 2's, but I obviously hate math.
Achievements are like the Md after someone's name.
Q: Know what they call a doctor that graduated 800th out of 800 in their class?
A: Doctor.
Q: Know what they call a doctor that graduated 800th out of 800 in their class?
A: Doctor.